Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 52.010278 59.345364 66.945637 75.377718 84.440391 93.859282 104.359519
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 41.793425 52.276968 63.723444 77.020742 91.919366 107.983052 126.498947
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.278319 46.184498 59.729323 76.012523 94.803923 115.579286 140.058645
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.566019 41.288871 56.320452 74.944883 96.985067 121.861298 151.695280
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.643296 38.003232 54.333735 75.103405 100.206062 129.022180 164.074012
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.449581 35.234318 52.638826 75.312794 103.238841 135.774177 175.834883
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.979296 33.118522 51.519929 76.020000 106.702241 142.910390 187.959287
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.240445 30.327265 49.279705 75.102832 108.005189 147.343590 196.800089
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.658852 28.997178 48.827664 76.354357 111.907753 154.848203 209.265917
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.384537 27.977246 48.688504 77.930151 116.161954 162.752412 222.209670
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.516438 25.839377 46.838953 77.108403 117.265753 166.722301 230.354218
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.562171 23.321724 44.260164 75.142179 116.764939 168.606724 235.883546
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.103969 23.275364 45.287584 78.155454 122.825228 178.789077 251.737979
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.389800 22.705296 45.488673 79.997438 127.346642 187.063024 265.293306
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.088892 20.907616 43.702345 78.941984 127.947425 190.326926 272.611365
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.943413 19.225296 41.965738 77.852183 128.421501 193.373010 279.620827
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.173464 18.166341 41.136826 78.014023 130.545554 198.510089 289.240922
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.498940 17.197271 40.380887 78.228486 132.705472 203.675322 298.894767
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.978953 16.481657 39.992399 78.952550 135.546152 209.718465 309.667919
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.277469 15.204047 38.551588 78.013496 136.021137 212.637254 316.454030
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.950339 14.785105 38.574454 79.294862 139.602351 219.641722 328.470782
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.693675 14.503646 38.818718 80.907966 143.652953 227.277965 341.321571
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.189704 13.422012 37.532333 80.066797 144.173932 230.210853 348.120467